revised version published in: Journal of Population Economics, 2006, 19(1), 25-54
In this paper we study the decline in total fertility rates in the Czech Republic during the
transition process. To identify transition-specific features of this decline we use a multiperiod
model of birth process and apply it to the family and fertility survey of 1998. In a standard
duration analysis setting the model allows for time-dependence of information sets, on which
the decision about the next birth is made. It also enables to estimate probabilities of early exit
from childbearing. In this work we find that the negative effect of transition on TFR is mostly
translated through a sharply increased negative influence of higher education on fertility, and
through the apparent lack of adequate childcare facilities.
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