In this paper, we view a tennis rally as a succession of shots, played alternatively by two players, whose aim at each shot is to put as much pressure on the opponent as possible while keeping the ball ”in” the court. A compound effect arises since, as the rally unfolds, the cumulative pressure makes it ever harder to hit a shot in the court. To capture these features of a rally, we propose a threshold-crossing stochastic model where, for each shot in a rally to be in the court requires the pressure imparted by the player executing the shot to cross a threshold whose expected value depends on the cumulative pressure of the previous shots. We show how to estimate these thresholds using data on the length of rallies in professional men tennis matches and how to use these thresholds to recover profiles of play for each player indicating who does what to whom in a tennis rally.
We use cookies to provide you with an optimal website experience. This includes cookies that are necessary for the operation of the site as well as cookies that are only used for anonymous statistical purposes, for comfort settings or to display personalized content. You can decide for yourself which categories you want to allow. Please note that based on your settings, you may not be able to use all of the site's functions.
Cookie settings
These necessary cookies are required to activate the core functionality of the website. An opt-out from these technologies is not available.
In order to further improve our offer and our website, we collect anonymous data for statistics and analyses. With the help of these cookies we can, for example, determine the number of visitors and the effect of certain pages on our website and optimize our content.